Interesting Swine Flu Statistics

Both Carnival and Royal Caribbean have cut the Mexican Riviera itinerary and are now sailing north to San Francisco, Seattle and Victoria BC instead because of the US Centres for Disease edict that Americans should not travel to Mexico. Their two biggest ships are now taking 7,000 people a week north to Canada instead of south to Mexico. So the following statistics prove rather interesting:

Mexican Riviera Cruises:
Statistics as of 8.5.09:
Baja California Sur (Cabo San Lucas): 0 Cases of Swine Flu
Sinaloa (Mazatlan): 0 Cases of Swine Flu
Jalisco (Puerto Vallarta): 0 Cases of Swine Flu
Total for Cancelled Mexican Riviera Itinerary: Zero Cases of Swine Flu
Source: http://ais.paho.org/flu/sm/en/atlas.html
California: 106 Cases of Swine Flu
Oregon: 15 Cases of Swine Flu
Washington: 23 Cases of Swine Flu
British Columbia: 54 Cases of Swine Flu
Total for New Replacement Itinerary: 198 Cases of Swine Flu

The Cruise People, Ltd. London Office


More Slow (but Huge) Boats to China

The crash in freight rates and charter hire, drop in the price of fuel and the activities of pirates, not to mention the large number of new ships being delivered from orders placed before the recession, have led to some interesting changes in passenger freighter voyages..
The slow boat to China, for example, now gets there via the Cape of Good Hope instead of the Suez Canal. But one of the biggest and fastest passenger-carrying container ships connects New York and Seattle by way of the Suez Canal.
And CMA CGM The French Line is introducing seventeen giants and super-giants into the cargo-passenger trades. Even Transatlantic service between the US, the UK and Continental Europe has returned. Let’s look at some of these changes.

The Even Slower Boat to China
Last autumn, we reported that container ships trading between Europe and China had extended round voyage durations from 56 to 63 and then to 70 days (i.e. from 8 weeks to 9 and then to 10). Each extra week required the addition of one more ship to the string to maintain a weekly frequency, so that 10 ships are required to maintain weekly service on a 70-day round voyage.
The reason for these voyage extensions was slow steaming to reduce fuel consumption after the price of bunker fuel had skyrocketed. Since then, however, the price of fuel has dropped again and the world has given the lines two entirely different reasons to maintain the longer voyage durations. First, many lines have gained an advantage because of huge drops in daily charter hire rates for container ships, which allow them to keep voyage durations extended or operate more ships on one route at virtually no extra cost.
(Savings can also be gained by chopping some routes where trade tonnages have declined). Another related reason is the activity of pirates in the Gulf of Aden. Although fast container ships are not good targets, one slower passenger-carrying ship, the Bank Line’s Boularibank, was recently attacked with 11 passengers on board. Of the passenger-carrying lines, both CMA CGM and Evergreen Line have for the time being decided to route China-bound ships from Europe via the Cape of Good Hope instead of the Suez Canal, although they still return via Suez.
For these reasons, and until things change again, this means that while just a year ago lines were operating ships on a 56-day turnaround the trend today is toward 70 days. This can mean an extra week in getting to China.

New York to Seattle – via Suez
Going against this grain, however, is a very interesting new route that connects New York and Seattle (and Vancouver BC) by way of the Suez Canal. The first ship on this route is CMA CGM Verlaine, which is capable of carrying 6,456 twenty-foot equivalent containers at a fast speed of 25.8 knots, certainly enough to keep away pirates.
The key to this routing of course is that Verlaine is a post-Panamax ship, meaning that, with dimensions of 984 feet in length by 131 feet in beam, she is too large to transit the present Panama Canal, where the maximum width allowed is 106 feet. The Port of New York has for some time now been trying to develop its Far East trade in bigger ships using the Suez Canal.
In this case, however, the ship serves not only New York but also the Trans-Pacific trades to Seattle and Vancouver. Uniquely, this gives American and Canadian passengers an opportunity to travel around the world by crossing their own country by rail at the beginning or end of their voyage between New York and Seattle, something that harks back to the first round-the-world cruise of  SS Cleveland, which sailed from New York 100 years ago, in December 1909, and arrived in San Francisco in February 1910. The Panama Canal would not open until 1914.

Haifa to Halifax to Hong Kong
Although Zim Container Service began its so-called “Tri-Continent” service in 1971, it has not until now carried passengers. But for the first time this year, passengers are being carried in two German-owned container ships that have been chartered from NSB for this route that connects the Mediterranean to the Far East via North America.
Two new ships, the Zim Ontario and Zim San Francisco, have been added to the route, which after leaving Haifa calls at Livorno, Genoa and Tarragona before crossing the Atlantic to Halifax, New York, Savannah and Kingston, Jamaica, and then transits the Panama Canal to Long Beach and Oakland before crossing the Pacific to Shekou, Hong Kong, Ningpo and Shanghai.
The ships then cross the Pacific again to Balboa, transit the Panama to Kingston, Savannah, New York and Halifax once more and cross back to Tarragona and Haifa. The full round voyage takes 104 days but one-way and port-to-port sectors can also be booked. These ships, delivered just this year, have three double cabins and fares run at €90-95 per person per day double or €105-110 per day single plus dues and taxes.

French Giants and Super-Giants
One company making great strides in the cargo-passenger trades is CMA CGM The French Line, now the third largest container line in the world. In commemoration of the line’s illustrious maritime history, that included great ocean liners such as Paris, Ile de France, Normandie, Liberté and France, chairman Jacques Sadée decided some years ago that new cargo ships should continue this tradition by being outfitted to carry passengers on their voyages worldwide. He is now holding true to his word.
A week after our last column on this subject, CMA CGM accepted delivery of its biggest ship yet, a seriously fast and huge vessel, capable of carrying 11,000 twenty-foot equivalent containers at 24.2 knots, called  CMA CGM Vela. With a gross tonnage of 128,600 tons, only nine cruise ships in service or on order exceed her. Her dimensions of 1,140 by 148 feet exceed those of RMS Queen Mary 2 (1,132 x 135) and she is almost as large as Royal Caribbean’s new Oasis of the Seas (1,181 x 154).
However, with three double cabins and one single she has space for only 7 passengers, compared to 7,000 (a thousand times more) that can be accommodated in Oasis of the Seas. Fares on CMA CGM Vela run €95-100 per person per day double or €110-120 per day for sole use, plus dues and taxes. But the lone traveller gains a big advantage as the single cabin is only €90 per day.
In addition to CMA CGM Vela, which is chartered from German operator NSB, CMA CGM will be taking delivery of nine more giants for its own account in 2009. Sister ships of  CMA CGM VelaCMA CGM Hydra, Musca and Thalassa, will carry up to 11,000 twenty-foot containers, while five more, CMA CGM Andromeda, Aquila, Leo, Libra and Lyra, will be capable of 11,400, and one, CMA CGM Christophe Colomb, will replace CMA CGM Vela as the largest passenger-carrying cargo ship in the world, at 13,300 twenty-foot equivalents.
All will be French-flag and French-crewed except CMA CGM Christophe Colomb and Thalassa, which will be British-flag and registered to CMA CGM (UK) Ltd. Typical of French ships, all will be fitted to carry 10 passengers except  CMA CGM Hydra, Musca and Thalassa, which will carry 8, more than the German ships, that usually carry only between 4 and 7 passengers.
CMA CGM Christophe Colomb, for delivery at the end of 2009, is only the first of eight super-giants. The others in this “Explorer” class will be CMA CGM Marco Polo, Vasco de Gama, Amerigo Vespucci, Corte Real, La Pérouse, Magellan and CMA CGM Zheng, and at 1,181 feet in length they will match Oasis of the Seas. To be one of 10 passengers on a ship as large as the Oasis will surely be a different experience.
Passengers who travel with CMA CGM are accommodated in outside cabins and take breakfast in their own lounge while lunch and dinner, which include complimentary French table wine, Chateau Paquebot, are served in the officers mess. The fare for the full 70-day round voyage from Southampton via Hamburg, Rotterdam, Zeebrugge, Le Havre and Malta to Khor Fakkan (UAE), Chiwan, and on to Pusan and Kwangyang in South Korea, then back via Dalian, Tianjin Xingang, Shanghai, Hong Kong, Yantian, Singapore and Port Kelang and to Southampton via Tangiers is €6,900 per person double or €7,179 for sole use of a double stateroom, but one-way and part voyages are also available.

Grimaldi Lines offer 20% Round Trip Reductions
Valid until the end of 2009, the Italian operator Grimaldi Lines has announced a 20% saving on all new round voyage bookings on its Euro Med, Euro Aegean and Euro Adriatic services. At last count, the Italian operator had thirty cargo ships carrying passengers, and in its case twelve per ship, the maximum allowed before a vessel becomes classed as a passenger ship.
The Euro Med service, based in Salerno, runs weekly, from a British or American passengers point of view, giving a full tour of the Mediterranean to Salerno, Piraeus, Izmir, Alexandria, Limassol, Ashdod and returning via Salerno, Savona and Setubal to Bristol, then running up to Scandinavia at Esbjerg and Wallhamn and returning via Antwerp to Southampton 35 days later.
Round voyage fares in outside cabins, before discount, run from €2,640 to €3,366 per person in double occupancy and single fares between €3,366 and €5,049.
The Euro Aegean service runs from Southampton to different ports, calling on Flushing, Hamburg, Antwerp and Bristol and then on to Setubal, Casablanca, Valencia, Livorno, Civitavecchia and Salerno in the Western Mediterranean, then to Piraeus and Alexandria, and every second voyage to Beirut, Tartous, Lattakia and Mersin, weekly again to Gemlik and Yenasoy in Turkey, thence back to Salerno, Valencia and Southampton.
What used to be a 28-day round voyage can sometimes now be 38 days. Round voyage fares in outside cabins, before discount, start at €2,128 per person in double occupancy and single fares begin at €2,713 for the standard 28-day round trip.
The Euro Adriatic service runs weekly from Monfalcone to Piraeus, Haifa and Ashdod, and returns via Izmir, Ravenna and Koper to Monfalcone, about 14 days later. Round voyage fares for all three of these services are now being discounted at 20%, but it is worth bearing in mind that Grimaldi Lines is the only cargo line carrying passengers that includes inside cabins in their offerings. Round voyage fares in outside cabins, before discount, start at €910 per person in double occupancy and single fares begin at €1,404 for the standard 14-day round trip.
Completing the Grimaldi Lines schedules, it also offers 58-day round voyages from Tilbury to Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay and 38-day round voyages from Tilbury to West Africa.

Weekly Trans-Atlantic Service Returns
In October the Cruise Examiner bemoaned the fact that since 2007 there had been no direct service between the US East Coast and the UK and North Continental ports. This, we are pleased to report, has now been remedied as the ships operating on the Independent Container Line route between Antwerp and Liverpool and on the American side, Philadelphia (Chester, PA) and Wilmington, NC, have reinstated their passenger service. Whether this had anything to do with the American election is not known but the service was re-opened shortly after President Obama’s inauguration.
Two of the ships,  Independent Pursuit and Venture, carry six passengers each, while the other two, Independent Accord and Concept, carry just two passengers in an Owners Cabin, should one feel like having a ship to themselves. One-way passengers are accepted and while disembarkation in Europe is only allowed at Antwerp, the UK is within quick reach by Eurostar to London St Pancras. The Eurostar station in Brussels is just a 45-minute train journey from Antwerp Central Station.
Typical fares are €1,573 from Wilmington to Antwerp or €1,438 from Liverpool to Chester, in each case per person in a double cabin, with single fares about 20% more.

How To Find Out More
Contact Fred Cherney of The Cruise People, Ltd.    fcherney@thecruisepeople.ca

Reprinted with kind permission of Mark Tré – Cybercruises.com

Liquid Assets: How Ships Can Move

Recent events have shown how flexible an asset a cruise ship is compared to say a resort hotel or a factory. When Alaska imposes a $50 head tax, she can move away to the Caribbean or Europe; when European revenues are higher she can move in that direction and when security concerns engage Americans she can stay closer to home; when swine flu breaks out in Mexico she can go to Canada; and when pirates threaten the Suez route she can go round the Cape of Good Hope.

Swine Flu Closes the Mexican Cruise Market
Of course, the big subject right now is the threat of the swine flu outbreak in Mexico and this has directly affected cruise lines that normally serve the Mexican Riviera down to Acapulco, as well as Cozumel, Cancun and Progreso on the Gulf of Mexico. Cruise lines are even now continuing to announce itinerary changes in order to avoid calls in Mexico.
To start with, Royal Caribbean has announced a new itinerary for its Mariner of the Seas, the largest cruise ship operating on the West Coast, carrying 3,114 passengers in lower berths (with 3,840 berths in all). Instead of a 7-day itinerary heading south to Mexico, she will now go north. Her revised itinerary from Los Angeles will include calls at San Francisco, Victoria and Seattle.
The Victoria call is required as she has to make at least one call in a foreign country but it is interesting that the provincial capital was chosen over Vancouver, which one might think has the more obvious attractions. Astoria, Oregon, will also benefit from a call on the May 10 sailing.
Carnival Cruise Lines, with the second largest West Coast ship, 3,006 lower berth Carnival Splendor (3,700 berths in all), which also usually trades south to Mexico, will now leave her Long Beach base and go north to the same three ports. Vancouver will also benefit from a call on her May 10 departure.
Carnival Paradise, which usually does the 3- and 4-day short cruises from Long Beach to Ensenada, and Carnival Elation from San Diego, will instead substitute Catalina Island or an extra day at sea, depending on the itinerary. In the circumstances Carnival must have been given some sort of waiver from the usual requirement under US coasting regulations to make a foreign call, as the fine for doing this is usually $300 per head.
Starting this week, both Mariner of the Seas, with 13 calls, and Carnival Splendor, with eight, will drop in on Victoria BC at about noon each Wednesday and stay until night time, bringing a windfall of up to 7,000 extra tourists to this Canadian port on Vancouver Island every week. The same will be true at San Francisco and Seattle, which each stand to gain about 25 additional cruise ship calls this season.
In the Caribbean, meanwhile, a myriad of changes have been announced for the usual Western Caribbean cruises that include calls in Mexico. The ports of Key West, Nassau, Freeport, Coco Cay, Grand Cayman, Montego Bay, Belize, Roatan, St Thomas and St Maarten will all benefit. Some Central American ports have also gained new calls on Trans-Panama cruises.
The new itineraries have been announced into May and June and a return to Mexico will depend on an end to the present health scare in that country. It helps that in many cases this comes at the end of the Mexico season and the beginning of the Alaska one.
One line, Norwegian Cruise Line, has not been affected at all, other than two Mexican calls dropped from the last cruise of  Norwegian Pearl in favour of San Diego. Carnival, on the other hand, with a heavy concentration on Mexico, has been worst affected, having had to adjust itineraries for sixteen different ships.
The biggest loser of all, however, is Mexico, which has seen all its cruise ship visits cancelled since US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) officials last week recommended that Americans avoid non-essential travel to Mexico .

Ships To Leave Alaska
Cruise ships will be leaving the Alaska trade in increasing numbers in 2010 and possibly 2011 in search of better returns elsewhere. This is a prime example of the advantage that cruise lines have of being able to move their assets to areas that will give them a better return, and it’s one that the state should have remembered. The $50 Alaska head tax turns out in the present recession not to be a tax that hits the consumer but a deduction that comes directly from the cruise line’s bottom line.
A ship with 3,000 passengers produces $15,000 less profit a week and if she makes 18 cruises that’s $270,000 off the bottom line. Four such ships make $1,080,000 less profit. No wonder cruise lines are cutting back on Alaska.
As a result, all of Carnival, Holland America, Norwegian Cruise Line, Princess Cruises and Royal Caribbean have announced reductions in their Alaska programmes for 2010. Norwegian Sun, to take just one example, will be cruising in the more profitable European market in 2010 and this will be her last season running to Alaska.
This is a solid case of how the cruise lines can move their assets and not so much “vote with their feet” as “vote with their fleets,” as has been very plainly indicated recently by both Carnival’s Micky Arison and Royal Caribbean’s Richard Fain.

European Profits Attract More Ships
Some lines, and particularly Royal Caribbean, have been moving large numbers of ships to Europe as the returns there are now more than they can make in either Alaska or the Caribbean. The most recent sign of this is Royal Caribbean’s decision to base its 3,634 lower berth (4,376 berths total) Independence of the Seas in Southampton year-round starting in 2010.
Sister brand Celebrity have both  Celebrity Solstice and Celebrity Equinox in Europe this summer and will have three Solstice class ships in Europe when Celebrity Eclipse cruises from Southampton on 2010.
And as noted above, Norwegian Sun will follow  Norwegian Gem, Jade and Jewel to Europe in 2010. Some ships will also move, as for example  Norwegian Jade from Southampton to a new base in Venice, again to where NCL thinks it can make more money.
The situation is emphasized even with newbuildings. For example, 72% of the capacity on order for Carnival Corp & PLC – or 27,296 berths – is earmarked for that group’s European brands, whose capacity will increase by 8% in 2009, or double the 4% increase forecast for its North American brands.

Homeland Cruising
The most famous example of “homeland cruising” was of course NCL’s use of that term in an attempt to build up more business from more North American ports after the events of September 11, 2001. Other lines have followed suit and even beaten NCL, probably none more so than Carnival Cruise Lines, whose 22 “Fun Ships” now operate from 17 North American ports, 11 of which are now year-round, more ports than any other line.
One thinks not only of their investment in the cruise terminal at Long Beach but also of the fact that its largest and newest ship, 3,100 lower berth Carnival Dream, will be based not out of Miami but out of Port Canaveral. Previously unknown ports like Mobile, Galveston and New Orleans have also benefitted.
This is not the first time that such events have occurred however, as after the Achille Lauro hijacking and both Gulf Wars there was a tendency to keep some ships normally based in Europe in North America, and is some cases European ships even came to North America for a time. In those cases it was the summer Canada-New England market that got the extra capacity, although some also went to Alaska when that destination was booming.

Pirates Affect Cruise Ship Itineraries
Finally, in the past week, both Fred Olsen and MSC Cruises have announced itinerary changes that will affect future cruises as a result of increased pirate activity, not only in the Gulf of Aden but now also in the Indian Ocean. Following last week’s unsuccessful attack on  MSC Melody, that line will in future route its positioning voyages between Italy and South Africa via West Africa instead of through the Suez Canal.
As  Melody was northbound at the time the next voyages to be affected will be southbound departures in November. Fred Olsen Cruise Lines, has meanwhile stated that its 106-night 2010 World Cruise in  Balmoral, which had calls scheduled for Dubai, Egypt and Oman, will now return to the UK via the Cape of Good Hope and West Africa instead. Like MelodyBalmoral was also recently threatened by pirates, in her case in the Gulf of Aden this March.
What will complicate matters even more for the cruise lines now is an announcement last week by the president of the Philippines that Filipino mariners would no longer be allowed to sail on any ship that went anywhere near the Gulf of Aden or the coasts of Yemen or Somalia.
This is all to say that an investment in cruise lines is probably not a bad one as these companies have a lot of flexibility when it comes to deploying their assets. This comes not only from direct fleet deployment, but also from things such as offering more shorter cruises, which are more affordable, in times of economic hardship such as now, or even extending cruise durations from 7 days to 14 days as Princess have done in one case to Alaska in order to cut the impact of the Alaska head tax in half.
The biggest advantage, however, is in being able to deploy those assets to where they will make the most money.
PS: Just to prove how flexible these assets are, within minutes of this column being prepared, Celebrity announced that from 2010 Celebrity Solstice will remain in the Caribbean year-round. Her 2010 Mediterranean itineraries will now be taken over by  Celebrity Equinox, whose own cruises will be cancelled. This is a result of the success the ship has had in the Caribbean. Celebrity is contacting all guests whose future bookings will be affected.
Republished by kind permission of Mark Tré – Cybercruises.com

A New Caribbean Passenger Freighter

From The Cruise People, Ltd. – Canada’s Original Cruise Agency

This voyage would make an excellent starter voyage or holiday voyage.

21-day itinerary starts in Houston and sails to Cartagena (Columbia), Puerto Limon (Costa Rica), Santo Tomas de Castilla (Guatemala), Puerto Cortez (Honduras), Kingston (Jamaica), Veracruz (Mexico) and Altamira (Mexico) before returning to Houston.

Note: Being a working freighter, ports are subject to change.

*Due to security reasons, no one-way voyages are permitted.
Complete, round voyages only.*

Yellow fever vaccination, medical form and Mexico tourist card are required as well as emergency hospital/medical insurance including emergency evacuation (sometimes called air ambulance) coverage. We are happy to quote on insurance for Canadian residents.

Vessel has two twin-bedded suites. Supercargo Portside has open view astern and to the side. The smaller Pilot Starboard cabin may have view obstructed by containers, depending on the load.

Both cabins have twin beds (200 x 90 cm), private shower/WC, sofa, writing desk, carpet, TV/DVD, CD player, radio and refrigerator.

Prices start at Eu 100 per day (double) and Eu 120 per day for sole use of the double suite.

NOTE: Indian Meals!
Age limits – 6/79
Currency on board – U.S. dollars.
Please call, e-mail or fax for availability and bookings